Bears vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Dec 07, 2025, 9:50 AM

min read

(AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)

The Packers are -6.5 point favorites vs the Bears
Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
Watch this game on FOX

The Chicago Bears (9-3-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (8-3-1) on Dec. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Green Bay, WI.

The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Bears vs. Packers Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Packers vs Bears & all NFL games with BetMGM

Bears vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Bears	+6.5 -110	44.5 -110	230
Packers	-6.5 -110	44.5 -110	-285

Bears vs. Packers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 54.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bears vs Packers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Packers vs Bears and all NFL games with BetMGM

Get a New Player Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

Olamide Zaccheaus has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Kyle Monangai has hit the Carries Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)
Luther Burden III has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.20 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jordan Love has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Josh Jacobs has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Bears Best Bets:

The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 45% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 69% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Packers Best Bets:

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.50 Units / 36% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 8-4 (+3.65 Units / 27.65% ROI).

Bears are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 61.24% ROI
Bears are 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
Bears are 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / ROI

Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 5-7 (-2.7 Units / -20.3% ROI).

Packers are 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -11.6% ROI
Packers are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Packers are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers

The Packers defense allowed a passer rating of just 40.6 on 3rd and long (78 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.1.

Only 8% of the plays ran against the Packers were in the red zone in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Packers defense allowed scores on 15% of opponent drives (6/39) in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 30%.

The Packers defense allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 565 attempts (0%) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1%.

Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Packers were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.

The Packers were 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .292.

The Packers were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run offenses last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.

The Packers were 2-3 (.400) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.

Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers