- The Lions are -6 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Chicago Bears (0-1-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (0-1-0) on Sep. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Lions are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Bears vs. Lions Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | ++6 -120 | 47.5 -115 | 220 |
| Lions | -6 -110 | 47.5 -105 | -275 |
Bears vs. Lions Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Lions will win this game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bears vs Lions Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
- Caleb Williams has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- D.J. Moore has hit the Receptions Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 76% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- David Montgomery has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.25 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Lions Best Bets:
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI).
- Bears are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 51.95% ROI
- Bears are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.11% ROI
- Bears are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.18 Units / ROI
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions are 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Lions are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Lions are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Lions are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Bears were winless (0-5) when allowing 27 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .183.
The Bears were 2-10 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Bears are 1-11 (.083) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
The Bears were 3-6 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Lions are 3-1 (.750) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .258.
The Lions were 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Lions were undefeated (8-0) on the road last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Lions were 15-2 (.882) last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions
The Lions ran 19.2% offensive plays in the red zone last season — best in NFL. The Bears allowed their opponent to run 17.0% of plays in the red zone last season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Lions RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 13.0% of 478 carries last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears allowed 10+ yards on 13.1% of carries to RBs last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Lions scored on 57.5% of their drives in the first half last season — best in NFL. The Bears defense allowed scores on 48.9% of opponent drives in the first half last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bears had a third down conversion rate of just 32.9% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Lions defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 32.4% last season — best in NFL.
The Bears ran just 41.6% offensive plays on their opponent’s side of the field last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Lions allowed their opponents to runjust 44.2% of plays in their territory last season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Bears were successful on just 41.6% of pass attempts with motion last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Lions pressured opposing QBs on 28.7% of pass attempts against motion last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged just 3.1 yards per play on first drive of the game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Bears ran 2% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bears averaged 0.25 epa per play on contested throws last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.06.
The Bears averaged -0.33 epa per play on first drive of the game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats
The Lions targeted RBs 36% of the time (14 Pass Attempts/39 plays) in Week 1 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Lions ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Lions ran successful plays on 12% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 1 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Lions scored 7 TDs from their own territory last season — most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed 9.3 yards per play against play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.5.
The Bears defense allowed a passer rating of 158.3 with a light rush (6 Pass Attempts) last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 92.6.
The Bears defense allowed 13.7 yards per completion (1,755 yards/128 completions) on 1st down last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 11.0.
The Bears defense allowed 14.8 yards per play with a light rush last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.9.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats
The Lions defense allowed 28 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
The Lions defense has allowed a late down conversion rate of 7% when opponents had 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
The Lions defense allowed 188.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 153.5.
The Lions defense allowed 185.1 receiving yards per game (3,147/17) to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 149.5.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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