2 Best NFL Player Props for Week 16: Bears vs Packers

Pole position for the NFC North title is on the line in Bears vs Packers on Saturday night. 

In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the division contest. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

Bears vs Packers Prediction: Week 16 Player Props

Olamide Zaccheaus Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Both Luther Burden and Rome Odunze will miss Saturday’s game. That creates opportunities for players further down the depth chart. 

This season, the Packers run zone at the league’s sixth-highest rate. 

Zaccheaus notched only two receptions for seven yards in Green Bay when these teams met two weeks ago. 

But excluding that performance, Zaccheaus has thrived against zone coverage. His 21.7% target share is second to Burden with his 27 receptions leading the team. 

From a yardage standpoint, he notched 202 yards against the scheme. That ranks sixth of eighth amongst Bears skill players. 

But with Odunze (first in yards) and Burden (second) out, it likely spreads the ball out to other players. 

Green Bay also is 32nd in DVOA against WR2s, allowing 6.4 receptions for 33.5 yards on average, per ftnfantasy.com. 

Last week, the Packers secondary allowed Bo Nix to surpass 300 yards. Without Micah Parsons, the Packers have no one to rush the quarterback. 

Given time, Caleb Williams should find open receivers. That should offer Zaccheaus a chance to clear a low benchmark for the fifth time this season. 

Jordan Love Over 228.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Josh Jacobs missed all three practices this week. He could still try and play on Saturday, but the matchup favors a pass-heavy approach. 

Chicago runs man coverage at the league’s ninth-highest rate. This season, Love has absolutely dominated that scheme. 

He leads the NFL in both EPA per dropback and DVOA against man, per ftnfantasy.com. That record comes while attempting the eighth-most passes against the scheme. 

Two weeks ago, Love passed for 234 yards and three touchdowns against Chicago. That contest qualifies as one of three straight games for Love against a top-10 man coverage unit. 

He cleared this benchmark in all three of those games. Earlier in the year, he blitzed the Steelers for 360 yards against another man-heavy unit. 

Even since Jaylon Johnson returned, Chicago’s secondary has struggled against competent quarterbacks. 

Against Love and Jalen Hurts, the unit ranks 21st in EPA per dropback and 18th in dropback success rate. 

That record helps create a sell-high spot on this defense. Last week, the unit excelled against a bad quarterback – Shedeur Sanders – and shorthanded offensive line. 

Based on those factors, I predict Love clears this benchmark for a fourth straight game.