2 NFL Player Props for Week 11 MNF: Raiders vs Cowboys

Two reeling teams try to get a win on MNF in Vegas in Raiders vs Cowboys. 

In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook. 

Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the contest. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement. 

Raiders vs Cowboys Prediction: MNF Player Props

Dak Prescott Under 0.5 Interceptions (-120)

Amongst quarterbacks with at least 200 dropbacks this season, Prescott ranks amongst the best at avoiding turnovers. 

His seven turnover-worthy plays place him T-4th in the entire league. Only Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Sam Darnold produced fewer TWP’s, per PFF. 

By turnover-worthy play rate, Prescott’s percentage (1.8%) trails only Allen, Hurts and Justin Herbert. 

Additionally, most of Prescott’s turnover troubles came early in the season. Of those seven turnover-worthy plays, five came in the first four games of the season. 

Over his last five games, Prescott threw three interceptions against a pair of turnover-worthy plays. 

Lastly, most of Prescott’s turnover troubles have come against man-heavy coverage schemes. Prescott turned the ball over only once against a primarily zone coverage defense. 

The failure? At home against Arizona with zero turnover-worthy plays. 

That helps create a positive sell-high spot on the Raiders defense. Bo Nix threw a pair of interceptions to Las Vegas, but it came on only one turnover-worthy play. 

Brock Bowers Over 6.5 Receptions (-120)

Monday’s game offers a prime buy-low spot on Bowers, who caught only one ball at Denver. 

However, Dallas’ defense presents an easier task for Bowers. On plays excluding turnovers, Denver ranks first in dropback success rate, 29 spots ahead of Dallas. 

Plus, Bowers dominates against zone-heavy coverage schemes. His 20 receptions against the scheme are tied for 11th in the league, despite Bowers missing time. 

Two weeks ago, he played a Jaguars defense deploying similar coverage rates to Dallas. Entering Week 11, Dallas plays zone at a 2% higher rate than Jacksonville (73.3%). 

How did Bowers fare in that game? He caught 12 passes for 127 yards. Even if you remove Bowers’ overtime catches, he still clears this benchmark with nine receptions. 

If there’s a slight concern here, it’s that Dallas has allowed only two tight ends to clear this number. Those failures: Dallas Goedert (7) and Mason Taylor (9). 

But the defense also surrendered nine targets to Trey McBride in their last game. McBride converted five of those targets into receptions. 

However, Bowers ranks second amongst Raiders pass catchers in targets against zone. 

Pair that with a presumed negative game script, and I predict Bowers clears a high bar. 

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds: Raiders vs Cowboys