- I predict Wan’Dale Robinson finishes over 59.5 yards against the Patriots.
- My prediction for Theo Johnson’s longest reception over/under.
- TreyVeyon Henderson (-125) is predicted to score against the Giants.
New England will aim to extend its winning streak on MNF in Patriots vs Giants.Â
In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook.Â
Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the contest. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.Â
Player Prop Picks for Monday Night Football
Wan’Dale Robinson Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Robinson recorded his best game of the season last week in Detroit. Schematically, he gets a chance to replicate it against the Patriots.Â
Both New England and Detroit run heavy rates of man coverage. Entering Week 13, both defenses played the scheme at a top-10 rate in the league.Â
Last week, Robinson caught nine balls for 156 yards and a touchdown. His longest reception came in at 40 yards.Â
The difference between these two units? Detroit actually defends the pass decently. Entering Week 13, the Lions ranked seventh in pass defense DVOA, 18 spots ahead of the Patriots.Â
One last factor to consider: Robinson’s corner matchup. This season, he has run 70% of routes from the slot.Â
On Monday, he gets Patriots corner Marcus Jones. Jones has allowed the 16th-most yards in slot coverage in the league this year.Â
Accordingly, I predict Robinson clears this figure for the second straight game.Â
Theo Johnson Longest Reception Over 15.5 Yards (-110)
Like Robinson, Johnson enjoyed a strong performance last week against Detroit.Â
His 77 receiving yards qualified as the best output of the season by Johnson. In terms of his longest reception, Johnson notched a 39-yard reception at Detroit.Â
That success marks the second time over his previous three games that he recorded a longest reception over 19.5 yards. Now, he gets a favorable matchup against New England.Â
Only five teams have allowed more receiving yards to opposing tight ends than New England.Â
Additionally, it qualifies as a potential sell-high spot. The Patriots have kept two straight tight ends under this benchmark.Â
But Johnson presents a different challenge. Entering Monday’s game, Johnson ranks fourth amongst tight ends in receiving yards against man coverage.Â
When New England faced Kyle Pitts – another top performer vs man – the Falcons tight end notched a 22-yard longest reception.Â
Based on those factors, I predict Johnson clears this figure for the third time in four games.Â
Patriots vs Giants Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds
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