- I predict Omarion Hampton clears his longest rush attempt prop (11.5 yards).
- My prediction for Jalen Hurts’ over/under passing yards prop (193.5 yards).
- Jalen Hurts (+105) is predicted to score a touchdown against Los Angeles.
Philadelphia tries to end a two-game losing streak in Chargers vs Eagles on MNF.Â
In addition to the pregame spread and total, bettors can now find NFL odds for player props at the BetMGM online sportsbook.Â
Below, I’ve outlined a pair of player prop predictions for the contest. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.Â
Player Prop Picks for Monday Night Football
Omarion Hampton Longest Rush Over 11.5 Yards (-130)
Largely, the prediction here is against Philadelphia’s defense. Vic Fangio’s unit will operate without Jalen Carter on MNF, creating an issue against the run.Â
In Week 1, Miles Sanders reeled off a 49-yard rush against the Eagles sans Carter. Then Cam Skattebo produced an 18-yarder against Philly.Â
Even last week with Carter, the Eagles struggled against the run. Both Chicago running backs notched at least 125 yards, with both Kyle Monangai and D’Andre Swift clearing this figure.Â
For the entire season, Philadelphia ranks 27th in run-stop win rate and 20th in rush defense DVOA.Â
Hampton is likely to receive a heavy workload. Justin Herbert had hand surgery on Monday and could receive a lighter workload to protect his non-throwing hand.Â
Hampton has only cleared this benchmark twice in five games. However, bettors have seen the Chargers run the ball well of late.Â
Only Jacksonville and Tennessee kept Kimani Vidal under this number over LA’s last five games.Â
The performance at Tennessee is slightly discouraging. But Jacksonville possesses a stronger rush defense than Philly.Â
Accordingly, I predict Hampton clears this number for the third time in six games.Â
Jalen Hurts Under 193.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Objectively, Hurts has posted worse numbers than the quarterbacks who have succeeded against Los Angeles.Â
Daniel Jones, Jayden Daniels, Tua Tagovailoa and Patrick Mahomes are the only ones to clear this against LA. Tagovailoa did so by 11 yards.Â
Hurts is an objectively better quarterback than Tagovailoa, but sits radically behind the other three. Entering Week 14, he ranks 22nd in success rate and second in air yards.Â
He also ranks 16th in DVOA against zone coverage. The Chargers defense deploys that scheme at the league’s third-highest rate.Â
Mere weeks ago, Hurts faced a Packers defense with similar percentages. Additionally, Green Bay is the closest comparison to the Chargers’ success rate against zone.Â
Hurts threw for only 183 yards in Green Bay. If there’s a slight concern, it’s that he diced up Dallas’ pass defense for 289 yards in Week 12.Â
But Dallas owns a significantly worse pass defense than the Chargers. By EPA per play allowed in zone coverage, Los Angeles ranks sixth, while Dallas ranks 28th.Â
Given those factors, I predict Hurts stays under this benchmark for the fourth time in six games.Â
Chargers vs Eagles Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds
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