Western Michigan vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 29

(AP Photo)
  • Valparaiso is a -4.5 point favorite vs Western Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Western Michigan / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Nov. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.

Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Western Michigan vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+4.5 -115O 146.5 -115165
Valparaiso -4.5 -105U 146.5 -105-200

Western Michigan vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Valparaiso will win this college basketball game with 63.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Western Michigan vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 away games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 away games (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.32 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 33 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 6.87% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 3-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -14.59% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan is shooting 66% from the free throw line (855/1,297) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan averaged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (366 rebounds/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan is shooting 66% from the free throw line (855/1,297) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan shot 62% from the free throw line (372/595) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Western Michigan averaged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (366 rebounds/32 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%


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