- Northwestern is a -16.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Valparaiso / Northwestern TV channel: PEAC
The Valparaiso Beacons visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats on Dec. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Evanston, IL.
Northwestern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Valparaiso vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Valparaiso vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Valparaiso vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this college basketball game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Valparaiso vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 away games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 18 away games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Northwestern Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+9.65 Units / 2% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+2.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 6-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -16.9% ROI
- 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Northwestern has a 3-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -42.2% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.13% ROI
- 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (683 points/573 shots) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.18
Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (68/221) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%
Valparaiso has forced 12.3 turnovers per game (923 turnovers/75 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:
Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (186 assists/ 98 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Northwestern averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (290 turnovers/32 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (683 points/573 shots) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.18
Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (68/221) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%
Valparaiso has forced 12.3 turnovers per game (923 turnovers/75 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:
Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (186 assists/ 98 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Northwestern averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (290 turnovers/32 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
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