UMBC vs Morgan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 11

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • UMBC is a -4.5 point favorite vs Morgan State
  • Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points
  • UMBC / Morgan State TV channel: ESPN+

The UMBC Retrievers visit Hill Field House to take on the Morgan State Bears on Nov. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

UMBC is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The UMBC vs. Morgan State Over/Under is 164.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. Morgan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC-4.5 -110O 164.5 -115-185
Morgan State +4.5 -110U 164.5 -105150

UMBC vs Morgan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UMBC will win this college basketball game with 72.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs Morgan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMBC will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 1-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Morgan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Morgan State has a 1-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC is shooting 37% from three (533/1,431) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMBC shot 47% (928/1,988) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMBC had a TS% of 49% last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UMBC made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Morgan State made 4.7 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/30 games) last season — 4th highest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Morgan State made 4.8 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC is shooting 37% from three (533/1,431) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMBC shot 47% (928/1,988) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UMBC had a TS% of 49% last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

UMBC made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Morgan State averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Morgan State made 4.7 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Morgan State averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (425 turnovers/30 games) last season — 4th highest among MEAC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Morgan State made 4.8 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.