Troy vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 14

(AP Photo)
  • UAB is a -7.5 point favorite vs Troy
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Troy / UAB TV channel: ESPN2

The Troy Trojans visit Bartow Arena to take on the UAB Blazers on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Birmingham, AL.

UAB is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Troy vs. UAB Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Troy vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+7.5 -115O 152.5 -110240
UAB -7.5 -105U 152.5 -110-300

Troy vs UAB Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UAB will win this college basketball game with 62.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs UAB Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+12.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.03 Units / 15% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -15.84% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

UAB Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UAB has a 6-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 28.57% ROI).

  • 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -16.51% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

UAB allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (2,498 points/2,005 shots) last season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

UAB allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (256/741) last season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

UAB has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (3,405 points/2,797 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

UAB has allowed 75.7 points per game (5,903 points/78 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.8

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends:

UAB has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,159 assists/ 830 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UAB averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (435 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

UAB has averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (659 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

UAB has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (719 assists/ 453 TOs) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

UAB allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (2,498 points/2,005 shots) last season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

UAB allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (256/741) last season — 4th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

UAB has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (3,405 points/2,797 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.25

UAB has allowed 75.7 points per game (5,903 points/78 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.8

UAB Defensive Stats & Trends:

UAB has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,159 assists/ 830 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UAB averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (435 rebounds/33 games) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

UAB has averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (659 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

UAB has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (719 assists/ 453 TOs) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.