Troy vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 18

(AP Photo)
  • San Diego State is a -15.5 point favorite vs Troy
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Troy / San Diego State TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans visit Viejas Arena to take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Nov. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Diego, CA.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Troy vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Troy vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy+15.5 -105O 137.5 -115950
San Diego State -15.5 -115U 137.5 -105-2000

Troy vs San Diego State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.44 Units / 30% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+4.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -4.12% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.8% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Troy has averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (827 turnovers/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Troy made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Troy had an eFG% of 51% last season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State attempted 795 threes last season — most among Mountain West Teams

San Diego State shot 44% (926/2,100) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

San Diego State had a TS% of 46% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

San Diego State shot 32% from three (251/795) last season — 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Troy has averaged 13.1 turnovers per game (827 turnovers/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Troy made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Troy had an eFG% of 51% last season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State attempted 795 threes last season — most among Mountain West Teams

San Diego State shot 44% (926/2,100) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

San Diego State had a TS% of 46% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

San Diego State shot 32% from three (251/795) last season — 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.