Texas Tech vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 20

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -8.5 point favorite vs Texas Tech
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Texas Tech / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The Texas Tech Red Raiders visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Dec. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New York, NY.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Texas Tech vs. Duke Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Texas Tech vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech+8.5 -110O 153.5 -110310
Duke -8.5 -110U 153.5 -110-400

Texas Tech vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas Tech vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+6.45 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+2.00 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 38 games (+30.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 games (+2.45 Units / 5% ROI)

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 2-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 7-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 0.3% ROI
  • 2-9 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI
  • 9-2 when betting the Under for +6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (5,433 points/4,962 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (236/682) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Duke has allowed an average of 0.98 points per shot (669 points/682 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (3,117 points/2,968 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke is shooting 38% from three (791/2,096) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (632 assists/ 346 TOs) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke has made 545 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

Duke has attempted 1,460 threes at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (5,433 points/4,962 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (236/682) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Duke has allowed an average of 0.98 points per shot (669 points/682 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (3,117 points/2,968 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke is shooting 38% from three (791/2,096) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (632 assists/ 346 TOs) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke has made 545 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams

Duke has attempted 1,460 threes at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among ACC Teams


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