- Tarleton State is a -15.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State
- Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
- Tarleton State / Mississippi Valley State TV channel: ESPN+
The Tarleton State Texans visit R.W. Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Dec. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Itta Bena, MS.
Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Tarleton State vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.
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Tarleton State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Tarleton State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Tarleton State vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 64.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Tarleton State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+17.60 Units / 220% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 27 games (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Tarleton State has a 6-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -2.87% ROI
- 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi Valley State has a 5-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +20 Units / 333.33% ROI
- 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Mississippi Valley State had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (240 assists/ 418 TOs) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (616 assists/ 1,039 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 56.6 points per game (3,846 points/68 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.9
Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has allowed opponents to shoot 57% (120/210) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 47%
Tarleton State has allowed an average of 1.72 points per shot (362 points/210 shots) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.36
Tarleton State has forced 15.2 turnovers per game (1,142 turnovers/75 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Tarleton State forced 16.1 turnovers per game (515 turnovers/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Mississippi Valley State had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (240 assists/ 418 TOs) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (616 assists/ 1,039 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 56.6 points per game (3,846 points/68 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.9
Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Tarleton State has allowed opponents to shoot 57% (120/210) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 47%
Tarleton State has allowed an average of 1.72 points per shot (362 points/210 shots) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.36
Tarleton State has forced 15.2 turnovers per game (1,142 turnovers/75 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Tarleton State forced 16.1 turnovers per game (515 turnovers/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
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