Tarleton State vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 1

(AP Photo)
  • Cincinnati is a -18.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Tarleton State / Cincinnati TV channel: ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans visit Fifth Third Arena to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats on Dec. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

Cincinnati is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Tarleton State vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tarleton State+18.5 -110O 146.5 -1051200
Cincinnati -18.5 -110U 146.5 -115-3000

Tarleton State vs Cincinnati Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this college basketball game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tarleton State vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games (+8.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 5-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 9.74% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 2-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -76 Units / -4.62% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has allowed an average of 1.86 points per shot (286 points/154 shots) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.37

Tarleton State has allowed opponents to shoot 61% (94/154) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State has forced 14.9 turnovers per game (1,075 turnovers/72 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Tarleton State forced 16.1 turnovers per game (515 turnovers/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati is shooting 67% from the free throw line (843/1,252) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Cincinnati averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/35 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8

Cincinnati is shooting 65% from the free throw line (113/174) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Cincinnati averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has allowed an average of 1.86 points per shot (286 points/154 shots) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.37

Tarleton State has allowed opponents to shoot 61% (94/154) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 47%

Tarleton State has forced 14.9 turnovers per game (1,075 turnovers/72 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Tarleton State forced 16.1 turnovers per game (515 turnovers/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati is shooting 67% from the free throw line (843/1,252) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Cincinnati averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/35 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8

Cincinnati is shooting 65% from the free throw line (113/174) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Cincinnati averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8


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