Southern University vs Texas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 10

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Texas State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Southern University
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Southern University / Texas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Southern University Jaguars visit Strahan Coliseum to take on the Texas State Bobcats on Dec. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Marcos, TX.

Texas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Southern University vs. Texas State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Southern University vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern University+3.5 -115O 141.5 -110135
Texas State -3.5 -105U 141.5 -110-160

Southern University vs Texas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Southern University will win this college basketball game with 53.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Southern University vs Texas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Southern University will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 away games (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 away games (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Southern University Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern University has a 2-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -59.26% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 5-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -19.35% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Southern University Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern University allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game last season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Southern University has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (241/554) this season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 47%

Southern University has allowed 6.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

Southern University has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,621/3,773) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Southern University Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern University allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game last season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Southern University has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (241/554) this season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 47%

Southern University has allowed 6.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

Southern University has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,621/3,773) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State made 4.5 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.