- Mississippi State is a -1.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 164.5 points
- SMU / Mississippi State TV channel: SEC+
The SMU Mustangs visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Nov. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Starkville, MS.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (105).
The SMU vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 164.5 total points.
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SMU vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | +1.5 -125 | O 164.5 -110 | -110 |
| Mississippi State | -1.5 105 | U 164.5 -110 | -110 |
SMU vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 61.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 3-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 0-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -100% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -0.31% ROI
- 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU is shooting 50% (225/446) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (136 assists/ 83 TOs) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
SMU has a 42% free throw rate (189 free throw attempts/446 field goal attempts) this season — 34th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 36%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (17/67) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Mississippi State has allowed 9.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.1
Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
SMU is shooting 50% (225/446) this season — 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (136 assists/ 83 TOs) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
SMU has a 42% free throw rate (189 free throw attempts/446 field goal attempts) this season — 34th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 36%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (17/67) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Mississippi State has allowed 9.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.1
Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
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