Sacramento State vs UCLA Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 18

(AP Photo)
  • UCLA is a -28.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Sacramento State / UCLA TV channel: BTN

The Sacramento State Hornets visit Pauley Pavilion to take on the UCLA Bruins on Nov. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

UCLA is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).

The Sacramento State vs. UCLA Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+28.5 -110O 147.5 -105
UCLA -28.5 -110U 147.5 -115

Sacramento State vs UCLA Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCLA will win this college basketball game with 78.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs UCLA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 64.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.18 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+7.30 Units / 0% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 2-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -21.51% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

UCLA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCLA has a 0-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.18% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 844 turnovers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/31 games) last season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA averaged 67.2 points per game (873 points/13 games) last season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 77.4

UCLA averaged 1.19 points per shot (873 points/733 shots) last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

UCLA shot 30% from three (60/200) last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UCLA averaged 1.31 points per shot (476 points/363 shots) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.39

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 844 turnovers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/31 games) last season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA averaged 67.2 points per game (873 points/13 games) last season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 77.4

UCLA averaged 1.19 points per shot (873 points/733 shots) last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

UCLA shot 30% from three (60/200) last season — 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UCLA averaged 1.31 points per shot (476 points/363 shots) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.39


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