North Florida vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 13

Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
  • Dayton is a -28.5 point favorite vs North Florida
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • North Florida / Dayton TV channel: ESPN+

The North Florida Ospreys visit UD Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Dec. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-115).

The North Florida vs. Dayton Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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North Florida vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Florida+28.5 -105O 159.5 -110
Dayton -28.5 -115U 159.5 -110

North Florida vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Florida vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • North Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.60 Units / 7% ROI)

North Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Florida has a 5-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -15% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.45 Units / -4.13% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 0.46% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has forced 17.7 turnovers per game (177 turnovers/10 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Dayton has allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (49/117) this season — tied for 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton is shooting 38% from three (663/1,769) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (259 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

North Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has forced 17.7 turnovers per game (177 turnovers/10 games) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Dayton has allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (49/117) this season — tied for 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton is shooting 38% from three (663/1,769) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton averaged 8.1 offensive rebounds per game (259 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.