North Dakota State vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 28

(AP Photo)
  • Arkansas State is a -2.5 point favorite vs North Dakota State
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • North Dakota State / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+

The North Dakota State Bison visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Nov. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Jonesboro, AR.

Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The North Dakota State vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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North Dakota State vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Dakota State+2.5 -110O 161.5 -110120
Arkansas State -2.5 -110U 161.5 -110-145

North Dakota State vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 56.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Dakota State vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+12.30 Units / 66% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+4.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.74 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has a 4-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.93% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 4.14% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (448 points/390 shots) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 1.32

North Dakota State has averaged 4.6 steals per game (325 steals/71 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

North Dakota State averaged 4.3 steals per game (139 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota State averaged 3.7 steals per game (117 steals/32 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State is shooting 26% from three (41/157) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State averaged 78.8 points per game (2,917 points/37 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (448 points/390 shots) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 1.32

North Dakota State has averaged 4.6 steals per game (325 steals/71 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

North Dakota State averaged 4.3 steals per game (139 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota State averaged 3.7 steals per game (117 steals/32 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State is shooting 26% from three (41/157) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State had 440 offensive rebounds last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State averaged 78.8 points per game (2,917 points/37 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.