North Carolina vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 2

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
  • Kentucky is a -5.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
  • Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
  • North Carolina / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Dec. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The North Carolina vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 163.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina+5.5 -115O 163.5 -110185
Kentucky -5.5 -105U 163.5 -110-225

North Carolina vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.82 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+6.15 Units / 0% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+9.85 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+9.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI).

  • 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 0.43% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 0.19% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky has a 27% free throw rate (124 free throw attempts/461 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 39%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky had a TS% of 53% last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky has averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky has allowed an average of 0.91 points per shot (205 points/226 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.06

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky has a 27% free throw rate (124 free throw attempts/461 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 39%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky had a TS% of 53% last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky has averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky has allowed an average of 0.91 points per shot (205 points/226 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.06


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.