- Kentucky is a -5.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
- North Carolina / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Dec. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Lexington, KY.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The North Carolina vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 163.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | +5.5 -115 | O 163.5 -110 | 185 |
| Kentucky | -5.5 -105 | U 163.5 -110 | -225 |
North Carolina vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.85 Units / 2% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.82 Units / 16% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+6.15 Units / 0% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+9.85 Units / 0% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+9.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.85 Units / 16% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI).
- 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 0.43% ROI
- 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky has a 27% free throw rate (124 free throw attempts/461 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 39%
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Kentucky had a TS% of 53% last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Kentucky has averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky has allowed an average of 0.91 points per shot (205 points/226 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.06
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky has a 27% free throw rate (124 free throw attempts/461 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 39%
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Kentucky had a TS% of 53% last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Kentucky has averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky has allowed an average of 0.91 points per shot (205 points/226 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.06
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