Nicholls State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 12

(AP Photo)
  • Valparaiso is a -2.5 point favorite vs Nicholls State
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Nicholls State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Nicholls State Colonels visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Nov. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.

Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Nicholls State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Nicholls State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nicholls State+2.5 -110O 144.5 -110115
Valparaiso -2.5 -110U 144.5 -110-140

Nicholls State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nicholls State will win this college basketball game with 59.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nicholls State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nicholls State will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nicholls has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nicholls has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nicholls have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nicholls have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nicholls has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.12 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 0-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Nicholls State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State has averaged 11.3 assists per game (747 assists/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Nicholls State averaged 74.4 points per game (2,456 points/33 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 73.2

Nicholls State had 21.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 21.2

Nicholls State is shooting 36% from three (531/1,483) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Valparaiso averaged 67.5 points per game (2,093 points/31 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Nicholls State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State has averaged 11.3 assists per game (747 assists/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Nicholls State averaged 74.4 points per game (2,456 points/33 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 73.2

Nicholls State had 21.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 21.2

Nicholls State is shooting 36% from three (531/1,483) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso had an eFG% of 47% last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Valparaiso had 14.6 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Valparaiso averaged 67.5 points per game (2,093 points/31 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6


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