Murray State vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 11

SMU head coach Andy Enfield yells during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in the quarterfinals of the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament, Thursday, March 13, 2025, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)
(AP Photo/Chris Carlson)
  • SMU is a -10.5 point favorite vs Murray State
  • Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
  • Murray State / SMU TV channel: ACC+

The Murray State Racers visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Nov. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Murray State vs. SMU Over/Under is 163.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+10.5 -115O 163.5 -110450
SMU -10.5 -105U 163.5 -110-625

Murray State vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 69.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence for today’s game.


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Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 2-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 48.78% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 0-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.54% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Murray State averaged 41% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (724 free throw attempts/1,756 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State averaged 30% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (547 free throw attempts/1,841 field goal attempts) last season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 31%

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU has averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (897 rebounds/67 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Murray State averaged 41% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (724 free throw attempts/1,756 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State averaged 30% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (547 free throw attempts/1,841 field goal attempts) last season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 31%

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/32 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

SMU had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (488 assists/ 358 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

SMU has averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (897 rebounds/67 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

SMU averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,409 points/1,995 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.