Monmouth vs Fairfield Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 14

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Monmouth is a -1.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Monmouth / Fairfield TV channel: ESPN+

The Monmouth Hawks visit Leo D. Mahoney Arena to take on the Fairfield Stags on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Fairfield, CT.

Monmouth is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Monmouth vs. Fairfield Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Monmouth vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Monmouth-1.5 -110O 145.5 -110-125
Fairfield +1.5 -110U 145.5 -110105

Monmouth vs Fairfield Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Monmouth will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Monmouth vs Fairfield Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Monmouth will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Monmouth have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Monmouth has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Monmouth have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Monmouth has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.28 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Monmouth has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Fairfield have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Monmouth Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Monmouth has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -20.22% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 3-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.5% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Monmouth Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield is shooting 41% (265/651) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Fairfield has averaged 1.12 points per shot (2,895 points/2,576 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Fairfield is shooting 44% from inside the arc (133/301) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 55%

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Monmouth averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,390 points/1,997 shots) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Monmouth had an eFG% of 49% last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Monmouth shot 43% (860/1,997) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Monmouth has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Monmouth Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield is shooting 41% (265/651) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Fairfield has averaged 1.12 points per shot (2,895 points/2,576 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Fairfield is shooting 44% from inside the arc (133/301) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 55%

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Monmouth averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,390 points/1,997 shots) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Monmouth had an eFG% of 49% last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Monmouth shot 43% (860/1,997) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Monmouth has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%


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