- Kentucky is a -4.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
- Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
- Michigan State / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN
The Michigan State Spartans visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Nov. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in New York, NY.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Michigan State vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 153.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | +4.5 -115 | O 153.5 -110 | 155 |
| Kentucky | -4.5 -105 | U 153.5 -110 | -190 |
Michigan State vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 55.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 36 games (+19.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+1.04 Units / 3% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.05 Units / 1% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 0% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 1-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 0.58% ROI
- 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State is shooting 33% from three (278/842) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Michigan State averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (340 turnovers/34 games) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Michigan State has averaged 16.4 assists per game (1,161 assists/71 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Michigan State is shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,061/1,418) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky averaged 30% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (583 free throw attempts/1,943 field goal attempts) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State is shooting 33% from three (278/842) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Michigan State averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (340 turnovers/34 games) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Michigan State has averaged 16.4 assists per game (1,161 assists/71 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Michigan State is shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,061/1,418) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Kentucky averaged 30% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (583 free throw attempts/1,943 field goal attempts) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
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