Merrimack vs Vermont Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 14

  • Vermont is a -6.5 point favorite vs Merrimack
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Merrimack / Vermont TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit Patrick Gymnasium to take on the Vermont Catamounts on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Burlington, VT.

Vermont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Merrimack vs. Vermont Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Vermont Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack+6.5 -110O 137.5 -110220
Vermont -6.5 -110U 137.5 -110-275

Merrimack vs Vermont Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Vermont will win this college basketball game with 57.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Vermont Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Vermont will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Vermont have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 6-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 3.83% ROI
  • 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI

Vermont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vermont has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack is shooting 38% (253/659) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Merrimack has averaged 6.5 offensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/77 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (286 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

Vermont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vermont had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (454 assists/ 289 TOs) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Vermont has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (750 turnovers/76 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Vermont averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/33 games) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Vermont averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack is shooting 38% (253/659) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Merrimack has averaged 6.5 offensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/77 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (286 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

Vermont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vermont had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (454 assists/ 289 TOs) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Vermont has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (750 turnovers/76 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Vermont averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/33 games) last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Vermont averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6


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