Merrimack vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 11

Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
  • Tarleton State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Merrimack
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Merrimack / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit EECU Center to take on the Tarleton State Texans on Nov. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Merrimack vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack+4.5 -105O 140.5 -110180
Tarleton State -4.5 -115U 140.5 -110-220

Merrimack vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 0-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 2-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -27.78% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (415 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Merrimack has averaged 67.3 points per game (4,375 points/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (284 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Tarleton State made 4.1 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (415 rebounds/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Merrimack has averaged 67.3 points per game (4,375 points/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack averaged 8.6 turnovers per game (284 turnovers/33 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Tarleton State made 4.1 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.