Merrimack vs Penn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 28

(AP Photo)
  • Penn is a -4.5 point favorite vs Merrimack
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Merrimack / Penn TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit Palestra to take on the Penn Quakers on Nov. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

Penn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Merrimack vs. Penn Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Penn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack+4.5 -105O 153.5 -105170
Penn -4.5 -115U 153.5 -115-210

Merrimack vs Penn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Penn will win this college basketball game with 64.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Penn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Pennsylvania has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.59 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Pennsylvania has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Pennsylvania has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 3-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -21.38% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Penn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn has a 2-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 42.68% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has allowed 66.1 points per game (4,694 points/71 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.2

Merrimack has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Merrimack has allowed 66.4 points per game (2,590 points/39 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 72.0

Merrimack forced 15.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Penn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (245/685) last season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Penn has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (901/1,993) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th highest among Ivy League Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Penn has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,416 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Penn allowed opponents to shoot 46% (757/1,660) last season — tied for 3rd highest among Ivy League Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has allowed 66.1 points per game (4,694 points/71 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.2

Merrimack has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Merrimack has allowed 66.4 points per game (2,590 points/39 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 72.0

Merrimack forced 15.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Penn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (245/685) last season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Penn has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (901/1,993) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th highest among Ivy League Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Penn has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,416 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Ivy League Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Penn allowed opponents to shoot 46% (757/1,660) last season — tied for 3rd highest among Ivy League Teams ; League Avg: 44%


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