Mercer vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 17

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • UCF is a -15.5 point favorite vs Mercer
  • Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points
  • Mercer / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The Mercer Bears visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights on Dec. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Mercer vs. UCF Over/Under is 162.5 total points.

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Mercer vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Mercer vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 76.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mercer vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+12.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 36 games (+16.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+14.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+3.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 7-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 18.06% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI).

  • 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 3.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF allowed 83.9 points per game (2,264 points/27 games) last season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

UCF allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UCF has averaged 4.7 steals per game (42 steals/9 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (741 points/649 shots) this season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Mercer has allowed 8.0 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 8.4

Mercer averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (678 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mercer forced 11.6 turnovers per game (361 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF allowed 83.9 points per game (2,264 points/27 games) last season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

UCF allowed 7.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UCF averaged 8.6 steals per game (275 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UCF has averaged 4.7 steals per game (42 steals/9 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (741 points/649 shots) this season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Mercer has allowed 8.0 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 8.4

Mercer averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (678 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mercer forced 11.6 turnovers per game (361 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 11.4


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