Maryland vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 20

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Virginia is a -14.5 point favorite vs Maryland
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Maryland / Virginia TV channel: ESPN

The Maryland Terrapins visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Dec. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Maryland vs. Virginia Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Maryland vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maryland+14.5 -110O 154.5 -115775
Virginia -14.5 -110U 154.5 -105-1400

Maryland vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 76.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Maryland vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+2.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+9.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+4.95 Units / 1% ROI)

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 4-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 0.17% ROI
  • 9-2 when betting the Over for +6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI
  • 2-9 when betting the Under for -7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 7-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 0.46% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland shot 28% from three (188/660) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (122 assists/ 151 TOs) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.5

Maryland is shooting 41% (264/637) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Maryland has averaged 11.1 assists per game (122 assists/11 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 16.3

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland shot 28% from three (188/660) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (122 assists/ 151 TOs) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.5

Maryland is shooting 41% (264/637) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Maryland has averaged 11.1 assists per game (122 assists/11 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 16.3

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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