Louisville vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 3

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Louisville is a -3.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
  • Total (Over/Under): 165.5 points
  • Louisville / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN

The Louisville Cardinals visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Dec. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 7:15pm EST in Fayetteville, AR.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Louisville vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 165.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville-3.5 -105O 165.5 -110-165
Arkansas +3.5 -115U 165.5 -110135

Louisville vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 56.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+18.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+13.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+15.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 36 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 5-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 0.37% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.15% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 0.22% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,335 points/945 shots) in the second half last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas is shooting 78% from the free throw line (436/562) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,335 points/945 shots) in the second half last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.33

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas is shooting 78% from the free throw line (436/562) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.