Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 11

Louisville head coach Pat Kelsey shouts instructions to his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Tennessee in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024. Tennessee won 77-55. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
  • Louisville is a -6.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 173.5 points
  • Kentucky / Louisville TV channel: ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Nov. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Kentucky vs. Louisville Over/Under is 173.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+6.5 -115O 173.5 -105200
Louisville -6.5 -105U 173.5 -115-250

Kentucky vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has averaged 86.6 points per game (5,713 points/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has a 42% free throw rate (970 free throw attempts/2,314 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has averaged 86.6 points per game (5,713 points/66 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has a 42% free throw rate (970 free throw attempts/2,314 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.