Harvard vs UMass Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 3

Massachusetts head coach Frank Martin is seen on the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Saint Louis Saturday, Jan. 27, 2024, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
  • UMass is a -4.5 point favorite vs Harvard
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Harvard / UMass TV channel: ESPN+

The Harvard Crimson visit Mullins Center to take on the UMass Minutemen on Dec. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Amherst, MA.

UMass is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Harvard vs. UMass Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Harvard vs. UMass Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Harvard+4.5 -105O 142.5 -110165
UMass -4.5 -115U 142.5 -110-200

Harvard vs UMass Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UMass will win this college basketball game with 63.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Harvard vs UMass Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Harvard has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Harvard has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Harvard has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Harvard has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Harvard have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Harvard Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Harvard has a 3-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -3.41% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

UMass Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Harvard Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (47/161) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 33%

UMass forced 13.2 turnovers per game (395 turnovers/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

UMass averaged 7.6 steals per game (228 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

UMass allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (2,120 points/1,700 shots) last season — 5th highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

UMass Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass is shooting 65% from the free throw line (108/167) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

UMass has a TS% of 43% since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

UMass shot 31% from three (202/646) last season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UMass had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (470 assists/ 338 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Harvard Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (47/161) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 33%

UMass forced 13.2 turnovers per game (395 turnovers/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

UMass averaged 7.6 steals per game (228 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

UMass allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (2,120 points/1,700 shots) last season — 5th highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

UMass Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass is shooting 65% from the free throw line (108/167) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

UMass has a TS% of 43% since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

UMass shot 31% from three (202/646) last season — lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UMass had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (470 assists/ 338 TOs) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2


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