Fresno State vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 6

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Arkansas is a -20.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Fresno State / Arkansas TV channel: SEC+

The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Simmons Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Dec. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in North Little Rock, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+20.5 -110O 158.5 -1051400
Arkansas -20.5 -110U 158.5 -115-5000

Fresno State vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 63.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+15.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -29.65% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI).

  • 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 0.3% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (17/74) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (581 points/525 shots) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Arkansas has allowed an average of 0.95 points per shot (267 points/282 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.07

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (17/74) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (581 points/525 shots) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Arkansas has allowed an average of 0.95 points per shot (267 points/282 shots) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.07

Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.