Florida vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 2

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
  • Duke is a -8.5 point favorite vs Florida
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Florida / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The Florida Gators visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Dec. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Durham, NC.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Florida vs. Duke Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+8.5 -110O 157.5 -110310
Duke -8.5 -110U 157.5 -110-400

Florida vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 70.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 39 games (+14.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 39 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 39 games (+31.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games (+1.50 Units / 3% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 1-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -1.62% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 6-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 0.31% ROI
  • 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
  • 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (304/1,052) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (548/1,800) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida has averaged 28.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,348 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida allowed 79.2 points per game (2,851 points/36 games) last season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (5,234 points/4,768 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (2,918 points/2,774 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 34% (166/488) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,045/2,774) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (304/1,052) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (548/1,800) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida has averaged 28.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,348 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida allowed 79.2 points per game (2,851 points/36 games) last season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (5,234 points/4,768 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (2,918 points/2,774 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 34% (166/488) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,045/2,774) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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