Fairfield vs Merrimack Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 7

(AP Photo)
  • Merrimack is a -2.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Fairfield / Merrimack TV channel: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags visit Lawler Arena to take on the Merrimack Warriors on Dec. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in North Andover, MA.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Fairfield vs. Merrimack Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Fairfield vs. Merrimack Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fairfield+2.5 -105O 143.5 -105125
Merrimack -2.5 -115U 143.5 -115-150

Fairfield vs Merrimack Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fairfield vs Merrimack Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Fairfield have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 3-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 4-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -9.32% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield has averaged 1.13 points per shot (671 points/592 shots) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Fairfield has averaged 11.1 assists per game (100 assists/9 games) this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Fairfield has averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (116 rebounds/9 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 10.1

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield allowed opponents to shoot 46% (932/2,039) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fairfield allowed 70.9 points per game (2,482 points/35 games) last season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 70.0

Fairfield allowed 7.2 made three-pointers per game last season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Fairfield has allowed 7.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.6

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield has averaged 1.13 points per shot (671 points/592 shots) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Fairfield has averaged 11.1 assists per game (100 assists/9 games) this season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Fairfield has averaged 12.9 offensive rebounds per game (116 rebounds/9 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 10.1

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield allowed opponents to shoot 46% (932/2,039) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fairfield allowed 70.9 points per game (2,482 points/35 games) last season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 70.0

Fairfield allowed 7.2 made three-pointers per game last season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Fairfield has allowed 7.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.