East Tennessee State vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 16

• North Carolina is a -16.5 point favorite vs East Tennessee State
• Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
• East Tennessee State / North Carolina TV channel: ACCN

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Dec. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The East Tennessee State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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East Tennessee State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

East Tennessee State vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 72.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

East Tennessee State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence for today’s game.

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East Tennessee State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
• East Tennessee State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• East Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• East Tennessee State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
• East Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 0% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:

• North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+15.05 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+9.75 Units / 0% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)

East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Tennessee State has a 6-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.83% ROI
• 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
• 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 6-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI).

• 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 0.64% ROI
• 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
• 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (247/634) this season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 44%

East Tennessee State has allowed 65.5 points per game (720 points/11 games) this season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 74.2

East Tennessee State has allowed 66.2 points per game (2,848 points/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.7

East Tennessee State has 113 steals this season — most among Southern Teams

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 3.9 turnovers per game (39 turnovers/10 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.5

North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

North Carolina averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,903 points/2,214 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (163 assists/ 105 TOs) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (247/634) this season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 44%

East Tennessee State has allowed 65.5 points per game (720 points/11 games) this season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 74.2

East Tennessee State has allowed 66.2 points per game (2,848 points/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 72.7

East Tennessee State has 113 steals this season — most among Southern Teams

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 3.9 turnovers per game (39 turnovers/10 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.5

North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

North Carolina averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,903 points/2,214 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (163 assists/ 105 TOs) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

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