Duke vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 6

• Duke is a -1.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
• Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
• Duke / Michigan State TV channel: FOX

The Duke Blue Devils visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Dec. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Duke vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Duke vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Duke vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 53.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.

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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Duke has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 39 games (+31.95 Units / 1% ROI)
• Duke have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 away games (+9.25 Units / 2% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)
• Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+22.10 Units / 2% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 36 games (+17.10 Units / 43% ROI)
• Michigan State have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+1.79 Units / 7% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 6-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 0.35% ROI
• 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI
• 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

• 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 1.46% ROI
• 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
• 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (301/1,075) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (301/1,075) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (259/872) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (201/743) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Michigan State is shooting 31% from three (25/81) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (154 assists/ 93 TOs) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State has averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,006 points/1,665 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (301/1,075) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (301/1,075) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (259/872) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (201/743) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Michigan State is shooting 31% from three (25/81) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (154 assists/ 93 TOs) this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State has averaged 1.20 points per shot (2,006 points/1,665 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

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