Drake vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 18

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • Murray State is a -6.5 point favorite vs Drake
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Drake / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Drake Bulldogs visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers on Dec. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Drake vs. Murray State Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Drake vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Drake vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 65.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Drake vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+10.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -11.55% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 7-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 1.2% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has a 41% free throw rate (998 free throw attempts/2,442 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State averaged 41% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (724 free throw attempts/1,756 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has averaged 90.5 points per game (995 points/11 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 78.1

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed 78.5 points per game (864 points/11 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (62 steals/11 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Murray State has forced 12.3 turnovers per game (135 turnovers/11 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has a 41% free throw rate (998 free throw attempts/2,442 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State averaged 41% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (724 free throw attempts/1,756 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has averaged 90.5 points per game (995 points/11 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 78.1

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed 78.5 points per game (864 points/11 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (62 steals/11 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Murray State has forced 12.3 turnovers per game (135 turnovers/11 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.2


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