- Virginia is a -6.5 point favorite vs Dayton
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Dayton / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2
The Dayton Flyers visit Spectrum Center to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Dec. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Dayton vs. Virginia Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Dayton vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Dayton | +6.5 -110 | O 145.5 -115 | 225 |
| Virginia | -6.5 -110 | U 145.5 -105 | -285 |
Dayton vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Dayton vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Dayton Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+5.10 Units / 0% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+7.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.78 Units / 10% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Dayton has a 5-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 6.63% ROI).
- 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 0.55% ROI
- 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 6-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 0.38% ROI
- 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Dayton has forced 17.3 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/9 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Dayton has allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (634 points/512 shots) this season — 5th highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Dayton is shooting 38% from three (656/1,746) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,131 assists/ 798 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Dayton has forced 17.3 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/9 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Dayton has allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (634 points/512 shots) this season — 5th highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Dayton is shooting 38% from three (656/1,746) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,131 assists/ 798 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
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