Cincinnati vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 5

(AP Photo)
  • Xavier is a -1.5 point favorite vs Cincinnati
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Cincinnati / Xavier TV channel: TNT

The Cincinnati Bearcats visit Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers on Dec. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Cincinnati vs. Xavier Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Cincinnati vs. Xavier Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cincinnati+1.5 -105O 148.5 -115110
Xavier -1.5 -115U 148.5 -105-135

Cincinnati vs Xavier Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this college basketball game with 55.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cincinnati vs Xavier Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+14.16 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 2-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -75 Units / -4.43% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 4-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -15.23% ROI).

  • 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 0.49% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.07% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -14.14% ROI

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has made 98 three-pointers this season — most among Big East Teams

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (166 assists/ 87 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Xavier is shooting 38% from three (303/792) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Xavier has averaged 1.24 points per shot (708 points/569 shots) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.37

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (241 points/234 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.15

Cincinnati has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (83/234) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (5,223 points/4,466 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Cincinnati allowed opponents to shoot 42% (852/2,021) last season — 4th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has made 98 three-pointers this season — most among Big East Teams

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (166 assists/ 87 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Xavier is shooting 38% from three (303/792) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Xavier has averaged 1.24 points per shot (708 points/569 shots) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.37

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (241 points/234 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.15

Cincinnati has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (83/234) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (5,223 points/4,466 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Cincinnati allowed opponents to shoot 42% (852/2,021) last season — 4th best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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