Cal Poly vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 12

Colorado State head coach Ali Farokhmanesh watches as his team plays against Creighton during the first half of an NCAA college basketball exhibition game Saturday, Oct. 25, 2025, in Omaha, Neb. (AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
(AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
  • Colorado State is a -18.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly
  • Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
  • Cal Poly / Colorado State TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs visit Moby Arena to take on the Colorado State Rams on Nov. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fort Collins, CO.

Colorado State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Cal Poly vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 166.5 total points.

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Cal Poly vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal Poly+18.5 -110O 166.5 -1101100
Colorado State -18.5 -110U 166.5 -110-2500

Cal Poly vs Colorado State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this college basketball game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal Poly vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 34 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+6.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+17.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+13.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.26 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 145% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado State has a 2-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.05% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.6

Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Cal Poly shot 44% from inside the arc (431/985) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Cal Poly has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (908 turnovers/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Colorado State averaged 18.1 assists per game (617 assists/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.2

Colorado State had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,211 assists/ 771 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.6

Cal Poly averaged 63.0 points per game (1,891 points/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Cal Poly shot 44% from inside the arc (431/985) last season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Cal Poly has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (908 turnovers/65 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

Colorado State averaged 18.1 assists per game (617 assists/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.2

Colorado State had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,211 assists/ 771 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2


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