- Buffalo is a -2.5 point favorite vs UMBC
- Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
- Buffalo / UMBC TV channel: ESPN+
The Buffalo Bulls visit Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena to take on the UMBC Retrievers on Dec. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Baltimore, MD.
Buffalo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Buffalo vs. UMBC Over/Under is 146.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. UMBC Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | -2.5 -105 | O 146.5 -115 | -140 |
| UMBC | +2.5 -115 | U 146.5 -105 | 115 |
Buffalo vs UMBC Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this college basketball game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Buffalo vs UMBC Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Buffalo Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 away games (+10.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+9.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
UMBC Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.29 Units / 11% ROI)
Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Buffalo has a 6-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.15 Units / 109.67% ROI
- 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UMBC has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 6.18% ROI
- 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC is shooting 37% from three (610/1,650) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%
UMBC made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5
UMBC has averaged 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (76 rebounds/9 games) this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.1
UMBC had a TS% of 49% last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
UMBC has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7
UMBC has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (633 points/570 shots) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 1.23
UMBC has allowed 70.3 points per game (633 points/9 games) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 74.0
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC is shooting 37% from three (610/1,650) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%
UMBC made 9.0 three-pointers per game last season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 7.5
UMBC has averaged 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (76 rebounds/9 games) this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.1
UMBC had a TS% of 49% last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC allowed 80.9 points per game (2,508 points/31 games) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
UMBC has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7
UMBC has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (633 points/570 shots) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 1.23
UMBC has allowed 70.3 points per game (633 points/9 games) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 74.0
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