Arkansas State vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 11

(AP Photo)
  • Missouri State is a -2.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears on Nov. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Springfield, MO.

Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Arkansas State vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State+2.5 -115O 151.5 -105110
Missouri State -2.5 -105U 151.5 -115-135

Arkansas State vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 57.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 6.67% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 0-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,035 assists/ 746 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri State had 321 offensive rebounds last season — tied for most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (758 assists/ 812 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,035 assists/ 746 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State averaged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (440 rebounds/37 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri State had 321 offensive rebounds last season — tied for most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (758 assists/ 812 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.