Alabama State vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 26

(AP Photo)
  • New Mexico is a -20.5 point favorite vs Alabama State
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Alabama State / New Mexico TV channel: ESPN+

The Alabama State Hornets visit The Pit to take on the New Mexico Lobos on Nov. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Albuquerque, NM.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).

The Alabama State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Alabama State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama State+20.5 -105O 146.5 -1101450
New Mexico -20.5 -115U 146.5 -110-5000

Alabama State vs New Mexico Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+16.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 away games (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 205% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has a 3-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 5.42% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

New Mexico averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

New Mexico averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (341 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.2

New Mexico is shooting 30% from three (49/163) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State had a TS% of 41% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (402 turnovers/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 13.0

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

New Mexico averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

New Mexico averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (341 turnovers/34 games) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.2

New Mexico is shooting 30% from three (49/163) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State had a TS% of 41% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (402 turnovers/43 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 13.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.