Alabama State vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 11

Missouri head coach Dennis Gates greets fans before the start of an NCAA college basketball game against Texas A&M Saturday, Feb. 8, 2025, in Columbia, Mo. (AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
(AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
  • Missouri is a -27.5 point favorite vs Alabama State
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Alabama State / Missouri TV channel: SEC+

The Alabama State Hornets visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers on Dec. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Columbia, MO.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-105).

The Alabama State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Alabama State vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Alabama State vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama State vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama State has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+17.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 away games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+10.45 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.84 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has a 5-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 128.75% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 4-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI).

  • 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 0.25% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (664/1,602) last season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State averaged 8.8 steals per game (265 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Alabama State allowed 68.0 points per game (2,041 points/30 games) last season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 74.5

Alabama State has forced 13.2 turnovers per game (988 turnovers/75 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State had an eFG% of 42% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State had a TS% of 41% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (664/1,602) last season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State averaged 8.8 steals per game (265 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Alabama State allowed 68.0 points per game (2,041 points/30 games) last season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 74.5

Alabama State has forced 13.2 turnovers per game (988 turnovers/75 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State had an eFG% of 42% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State had a TS% of 41% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%


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