After trading for Jimmy Butler, the Golden State Warriors were one of the hottest teams in the league en route to a 48-34 finish. They ultimately lost in the second round of the Western Conference playoffs.
With a full offseason and training camp, the Warriors are hoping to build on last year’s momentum to give Stephen Curry one final championship push.
The latest NBA betting odds project Golden State to be in the mix in 2025-26.
Warriors Over/Under Wins 2025-26
- Over 47.5 wins: -110
- Under 47.5 wins: -110
Warriors Win Total Prediction
- Under 47.5 wins (Pick made on July 14)
The Warriors closed the season with a 23-8 record after Butler made his debut with the team on Feb. 8. They posted the third-best net rating (+9.2) in the league during that stretch, trailing only the Oklahoma City Thunder and Boston Celtics.
It would be easy to believe in that stretch and take the over on the Warriors’ win total. After all, that’s the pace of a team that should clear this mark.
However, buying into spring results can lead to mixed results. Several teams have not been trying to win over the past two months of the season, whereas a squad like the Warriors might be motivated to climb up the standings.
Golden State played 14 games against a playoff team from Feb. 8 through the end of the regular season, losing four times, including twice in the final week when teams start ramping back up.
I think the Warriors are a good team, but this win total has jumped four games from last year’s mark, when it was one of my favorite over/unders in the preseason. There is more downside risk this season, particularly given the age of Golden State’s best players.
Warriors Win Total History
(Data from Sports Odds History)
| Year | Win Total | Actual Wins | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 43.5 | 48 | Over |
| 2023-24 | 48.5 | 46 | Under |
| 2022-23 | 52.5 | 44 | Under |
| 2021-22 | 48.5 | 53 | Over |
| 2020-21 | 37.5 | 39 | Over |
| 2019-20 | 47.5 | 39 | Void |
| 2018-19 | 62.5 | 57 | Under |
| 2017-18 | 67.5 | 58 | Under |
| 2016-17 | 66.5 | 67 | Over |
| 2015-16 | 59.5 | 73 | Over |
| 2014-15 | 52.5 | 67 | Over |
| 2013-14 | 51 | 51 | Push |
| 2012-13 | 35.5 | 47 | Over |
| 2011-12 | 29.5 | 23 | Under |
| 2010-11 | 30.5 | 36 | Over |
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