Warriors vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Nov. 7

  • The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon

The Golden State Warriors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 5-4 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 4-3 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+9.5 -110O 230.5 -105350
Denver Nuggets -9.5 -110U 230.5 -115-450

Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 77.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 68.2% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 54 games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 47 games at home (+21.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+17.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+15.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 5-4 (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 5-4 against the Moneyline (-5.1 Units / -23.89% ROI)
  • 6-3 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 3-6 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 5-2 against the Moneyline (+1.75 Units / 6.17% ROI)
  • 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 47 games at home (-28.00 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 95 games (-25.26 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 62 games (-25.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 95 games (-22.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 94 games (-19.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 94 games (-48.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 89 games (-38.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-25.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 88 games (-22.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.95 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Warriors have made 148 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors shot 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors had an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,653 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have averaged 55.6 points in the paint per game (4,728 points/85 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.2

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 148 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors shot 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors had an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,653 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have averaged 55.6 points in the paint per game (4,728 points/85 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.2

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 148 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

The Warriors have made 14.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors shot 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors had an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (1,653 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have averaged 55.6 points in the paint per game (4,728 points/85 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.2

The Nuggets averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.