Warriors vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 19

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FSUN | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 9-7 against the spread, while the Heat are 9-5 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 66.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Heat.

Heat vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 63.1% confidence.

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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 89 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 61 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 68 games (+22.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 73 games (+20.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 68 games (+16.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 49% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 9-7 (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI).

• 9-7 against the Moneyline (-3.9 Units / -10.22% ROI)
• 11-5 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI)
• 5-11 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

• 8-6 against the Moneyline (+5.05 Units / 29.02% ROI)
• 9-5 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI)
• 5-9 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 65 games (-23.20 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 64 games (-21.45 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 81 games (-20.97 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.60 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 74 games (-20.43 Units / -22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 97 games (-48.50 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 96 games (-37.60 Units / -14% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 94 games (-28.95 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 95 games (-25.60 Units / -17% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 95 games (-23.80 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Warriors have averaged 40.1 points in the paint per game (642 points/16 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Warriors have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Warriors have averaged 19.5 points in the paint per game (312 points/16 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Warriors are shooting 46% (629/1,377) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Heat have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (169 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 16.8 assists per game (235 assists/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 40.1 points in the paint per game (642 points/16 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Warriors have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Warriors have averaged 19.5 points in the paint per game (312 points/16 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Warriors are shooting 46% (629/1,377) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (169 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 16.8 assists per game (235 assists/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 40.1 points in the paint per game (642 points/16 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Warriors have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Warriors have averaged 19.5 points in the paint per game (312 points/16 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

The Warriors are shooting 46% (629/1,377) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (169 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat have averaged 16.8 assists per game (235 assists/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

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