Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 4

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Timberwolves vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 8-13 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 13-9 against the spread.


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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Minnesota Timberwolves O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 66.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 69 games (+25.54 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 89 games (+19.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 51 of their last 84 games (+16.92 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 8-13 (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • 13-8 against the Moneyline (-1.55 Units / -2.05% ROI)
  • 11-10 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 10-11 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 13-9 (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 3-19 against the Moneyline (-13.85 Units / -61.56% ROI)
  • 13-9 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI)
  • 9-13 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 81 games (-31.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 79 games (-24.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 59 games (-18.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 72 games (-28.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 96 games (-25.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-23.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 93 games (-19.86 Units / -19% ROI)

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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Pelicans are 3-11 (.214) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pelicans are 2-8 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pelicans have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (708 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Pelicans have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (74 blocks/22 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Pelicans are 3-11 (.214) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pelicans are 2-8 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (708 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Pelicans have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (74 blocks/22 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Pelicans are 3-11 (.214) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pelicans are 2-8 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (708 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Pelicans have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (74 blocks/22 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.