- The Thunder are -11.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on PEAC | FDOK | NSBA | NBC
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-102).
The Thunder vs Warriors Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 10-11 against the spread, while the Warriors are 10-11 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -11.5 -102 | O 223.5 -110 | -600 |
| Golden State Warriors | +11.5 -118 | U 223.5 -110 | 425 |
Warriors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 68.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Warriors.
Warriors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 100 games (+29.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 58 of their last 100 games (+15.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 90 games (+12.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+10.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 94 games (+10.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 10-11 (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI).
- 20-1 against the Moneyline (+18.35 Units / 11.56% ROI)
- 11-10 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 10-11 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 10-11 (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI).
- 11-10 against the Moneyline (-8.8 Units / -15.59% ROI)
- 13-8 against the Over for game total points (+4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI)
- 8-13 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 95 games (-43.55 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 93 games (-30.85 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 97 games (-27.55 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-25.70 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-25.20 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 97 games (-30.27 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 42 away games (-25.45 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-24.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 away games (-24.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-21.50 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Warriors have averaged 41.6 points in the paint per game (874 points/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Warriors have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have averaged 20.7 points in the paint per game (434 points/21 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Warriors are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330
The Warriors are 9-1 (.900) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657
The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Warriors are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 41.6 points in the paint per game (874 points/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Warriors have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have averaged 20.7 points in the paint per game (434 points/21 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330
The Warriors are 9-1 (.900) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657
The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Warriors are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 41.6 points in the paint per game (874 points/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8
The Warriors have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have averaged 20.7 points in the paint per game (434 points/21 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330
The Warriors are 9-1 (.900) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657
The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Warriors are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
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